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Gav's trading blog - Perseverance, Consistency, Confidence

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Blog and Rants

Updates, down time, futures trading etc

by Gav Leave a Comment

I thought I should write a short post just keep my 13 readers updated.

I have been out of action for the past few weeks due to illness. Well, nothing really serious, but it was bad enough to keep me constantly tired and prevent me from trading and blogging etc. I have finally off the antibiotic craps. Should be back in action soon.

During this little “down time”, I took the chance to look into BUND futures trading in details. It is indeed an exciting market to day trade. Of course, I am still trading FX, but you can expect a some posts or mentions of BUND in my future writings.

So, hope you have a good trading week ahead, and talk soon.

Filed Under: Rant

Weekly Review of spot GOLD (XAUUSD) 16 AUG 2013

by Gav 1 Comment

Here is the quick chart review of spot GOLD XAUUSD.  You can also find last week’s chart review here.

The best way to understand the movement is to look at the charts in multiple time frame. The charts basically explain everything. I will just try to give brief descriptions.

On Thursday, Gold broke away from  resistance level 1347.83, the immediate target is seen at 1392/98.

Here is the Daily Chart with key levels marked.

spot GOLD Daily chart
spot GOLD Daily chart

Looking into 4-hour time frame, we can find some details about the price movement. Last week, we saw the break of down trend line, and also the resistance level around 1316.22. The best opportunity,and more conservative way to enter a long trade is to wait for the pull back to the broken resistance level. As shown in the chart, price respected the level 1316.22, and made another run to the upside after retesting the level.

Here is the 4-hour chart with key levels marked.

spot GOLD XAUUSD 4-hour chart
spot GOLD XAUUSD 4-hour chart

Here is the H1 charts with more detailed trend lines. I won’t go into too much details about the trend lines, probably in other posts.  Just to show that there are trading opportunities around the identified support and resistance levels.

spot GOLD XAUUSD 1-hour chart
spot GOLD XAUUSD 1-hour chart

That’s it. Just a quick  chart review. Hope it helps or at least, the lines did not confuse you.

From the desk of TraderGav.com

 

RSS Feed migration: Just a quick reminder to those who subscribed to RSS feed of this site prior JULY 2013. I will be switching off Feedburner email delivery this weekend. You should be receiving an email to inform you about new email subscription (via Aweber).

As always,for new visitors, to stay updated with me, please sign up for the free update at the sidebar.

 

Filed Under: headline post, Support Resistance, Trading Journal

Moving RSS Feed

by Gav

This is a message for readers who subscribed for RSS feed/blog email update of this website prior July 2013.   So if you are new free update subscriber, you are safe. 🙂

Previously, the RSS feed of TraderGav.com was handled by FeedBurner. I am now moving email update facility to Aweber. So, email subscribers will be receiving one or two (the most) emails a week for the latest update of TraderGav.com.

So what do you need to do if you are existing FeedBurner email subscriber?

Please fill in the Free Update subscription form at the side bar. Follow the confirmation process to confirm your subscription.

FeedBurner email subscription will be terminated shortly (targeting end of this week).

What if I am reading your RSS via feed reader?

Easy. Please update the RSS feed address to tradergav.com/feed/

 

That’s it. Shoot me an email via contact form, or simple leave a comment below if you have any question.

 

From the desk of TraderGav.com

Filed Under: Rant

One USDJPY trade 12 August 2013

by Gav Leave a Comment

Just a quick post of one of the trades I made yesterday. I thought it might provide some educational value to my now 13 readers.

I went long of USDJPY around mid London session yesterday. My entry was not the best I would like to have.  I saw a small consolidation cluster around 96.75 , and it, in fact, broke the inner trend line. (Refer to the blue bold line in the chart below).  My view was, the consolidation above inner trend line might potentially be a launch pad for a upward movement.  Well, it dipped a couples of hours later, but never go beyond 50% retracement of the current swing. Stop loss was not triggered.

In retrospect, the dipped after my entry was indeed a retest of another broken down trend line and support level. In hindsight, this is a better entry, but hey,that’s trading, and everything looks better in hindsight, no?

Target is set at 97.40. This is the price projection measured by using the Fibonacci extension of 161.8, golden ratio, of the lowest swing low to the break of inner trend line.  The target was achieved during Tuesday Asian morning session.

2nd target is set at measured move up to around 97.80 which is also a resistance level.

Here is the 1-hour chart of USDJPY.

USDJPY 1-hour chart
USDJPY 1-hour chart

I suggest to have a look at Steve’s NBT posts for the concepts of price projections for target setting.

That’s it for now. Have a good trading week ahead!

From the desk of TraderGav.com

Filed Under: headline post, Support Resistance, Trading Journal

Levels trading tips from hindsight analysis

by Gav Leave a Comment

First of all, AUDUSD approached 0.9130/40 resistance level. This is a daily level, and price reacted and immediately pulled back to intraday (hourly) support level 0.9085. If you managed to get in short position at the first test of 9130 level, the setup should give you around 1 R at 0.9085. (Unless you used a ridiculous tight stop, then you might get more of it..but, heck, it doesn’t make too much sense to me)

Here is the hour chart of AUDUSD

AUDUSD 1-hour chart 09 August 2013
AUDUSD 1-hour chart 09 August 2013

In case you’ve missed the first train of selling, I would prefer to wait for the break of 9085 and enter at the pull back to this level. It can be a rounded retest or immediate retest (read my butt kiss setup).

In addition, if you  noticed starting from mid-0.89 down to mid-0.88  there was an accumulation/distribution pattern, and also can bee seen as  multiple taps formation. Refer to the purple dash lines in the chart. 0.8943 was the decision level for this pattern, once it was broken, pull back to this level provided a valid long entry. With target set at slightly above 90 cents, it provided 1:2 risk reward ratio.

Our good friend, Steve at NoBrainertrades.com wrote an awesome blog post yesterday The Decision Making Plan – An Alternative Process to Trade Entry. In his PREP decision making process, the 1st action before starting a position is to identify profit target, identify where we are getting out of the trade. It makes total sense to me. Spend some time and read it.

We know price will normally react at the level, but the question is always, how far will it go. So, it is important to know where to enter a trade, it is even more important to have price projection, i.e where do you expect price to reach from here.

Hope you have a great week so far.

From the desk of TraderGav.com

Filed Under: blogs, Support Resistance, Trading Journal

Weekly Review of GOLD (XAUUSD) 08 AUG 2013

by Gav Leave a Comment

Here is the weekly review of spot GOLD XAUUSD levels. You can last week’s chart review in this post.

GOLD reacted at the resistance level and also 50% retracement of D1 down leg. 1347.57 is now the level to watch for any false break should price retrace back to this high. Overall, GOLD is contained in the Daily down channel. The key levels to watch now are 1297.55 for resistance and 1268.40/1272.22 for support.

Here is the Daily Chart of spot GOLD

GOLD Daily Chart
GOLD Daily Chart

In 4-Hour time frame,  I am watching closely is the potential break up of the H4 down channel. Refer to the 4-hour chart below, a break of this channel, and 1297.55 might bring us back to 1347.57 as mentioned before. On the hand, a break of support level 1268.40/1272.22, I will be looking at potential short setup at the pull back.

GOLD 4-Hour Chart
GOLD 4-Hour Chart

That’s all for this post.

From the desk of TraderGav.com

Filed Under: headline post, Support Resistance, Trading Journal

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