This is daily chart of SIMSCI futures. It broke out from existing downtrend channel last Friday after a strong day. It is currently facing resistance soon.
Directional index has started ticking up after reaching oversold level. And trend index shows a same picture as well. Sentiment is improving though it is still remain negative.
It is likely to see rebound rally, though downtrend is still intact.
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Opportunist series: Stocks for 19-June-2006 onwards
This opportunist series is to capture stocks which experience extreme bearish sentiment and starts rally. Tight stop loss is implemented as broad market sentiment and trend remains bearish.
I have found some counters for agressive trading style to capitalise in the rebound rally in the existing downtrend. Almost all of the stocks I have found are in down trend and negative sentiment. However, some of them are rebounding after reached extreme bearish sentiment.
There are quite a few counters captured , however, most of them are trading near major resistance and Reward/Risk ratio less than 1. I have excluded them from consideration.
I am watching at Star Pham, Midas and Statchipac.
Chart Eye: Sesdaq daily trend : ended 16-June-2006
So we have seen a strong rally last Friday. It was expected to hear some voices in forums discussing ‘Bull is back to action’. Well, I have decided again to do some analysis on the trend. And this time, I want do something interesting.
Firstly, I am looking at daily trend of UOB Sesdaq index. Last week’s rally put a pause to the heavy selling. Short term moving averages are ticking up. However, it is still far below long term moving averages. And there is, in fact, nothing much in term of trend change. Downtrend is still intact.
From Directional analysis, negative sentiment is still hanging in the air, though it was ticking down at the end of last week, I do not see positive sentiment gaining strength.
(Click on the chart to maximize it)
If it is a little bit tough for trader to accept establishment of downtrend (Since, most of traders only recognize Bullish pattern), I have inverted the daily trend of UOB Sesdaq. The inverted trend indeed showing me a ‘BUY’ opportunity (in reality, a SELL, remember, this is a inverted chart) if I were to do trend trading.
In fact, I am not impressed by the rally. Maybe, at least for now. My strategy will be sell on strength instead. The rally in some way, provides a chance to let go current holding of small cap.
SIMSCI 16-June-2006: Market close
[photopress:simsci_12_full_day.PNG,full,pp_image]
There was a second entry opportunity to Long SIMSCI. Due to some personal commitment , I gave up the trading opportunity. Anyway, second entry was at 283.9 with potential exit at 284.8.
It was a strong day for SG market, which in turn provides SIMSCI day trading profit oppportunities.
I closed the day and the week in positive note again. Total gain for the week is +2.8 points.
RE:SIMSCI 16-June-2006: Potential Long:Trade Closed
I have closed Long position at 283.1. After watching price action at the area of day high (283.4), uptrend seemed to be getting weaker. This does not mean a reversal is kicking in, it just prompts me for profit taking. Notice about DI+, similar weakness was observed as well. To confirm this decision, I turned to 9-min chart.
I might be wrong which might miss out bigger profit in the afternoon session. However, day trading is all about discipline and timing, I do not act on expectation. In fact, at 1130pm, my position was already in-the-money. Not so bad for 2-hour trading, a positive Friday with +1.2 gain.
RE:SIMSCI 16-June-2006: Potential Long
Long position of SIMSCI has been established at 281.9. SIMSCI seems to be gaining strength again. Sentiment remains positive.