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Gav

Driver losing control..

by Gav Leave a Comment

RBA bashes the banks

THE Reserve Bank has partly blamed Australia’s private banks for creating conditions that risk pushing the nation into a “deeper and more persistent slowdown”.

The central bank’s board also seriously considered cutting interest rates when it met on August 5, according to minutes of the meeting released yesterday.

At the meeting, board members expressed concern that financial conditions in Australia were “clearly quite tight, and effectively getting tighter”.

The August meeting minutes confirm that board members were worried that conditions had been tightened too far, “given there had been a significant change in borrowing behaviour, confidence was weaker, asset prices had declined and slower overall growth was in prospect”.

The minutes also indicate that there was debate on whether to cut interest rates immediately.

The minutes signal that the Reserve board intends to start cutting rates next month. They say that without less restrictive conditions “the risk of a deeper and more persistent slowing in the economy would increase”.

Full article here

Clear signal of rate cut? RBA had been working on slowing down Aussie economy in which they believed was the way to fight inflation. Now, the driver seems to be losing control of his vehicle…who to blame?

Filed Under: Links, news Tagged With: news

Charities feel the Subprime pain

by Gav Leave a Comment

MORE than 100 local councils, charities, churches, hospitals and nursing homes across Australia are sitting on a $2 billion black hole after buying subprime investments structured by Wall Street banks during the bull market but which are now potentially worthless.

A document leaked to BusinessDay revealed that Lehman Brothers is managing tens of millions of dollars in funds for Victoria’s community, education and health sectors, much of it invested in high-risk financial instruments now potentially worthless.
……
BusinessDay has identified more than 150 government, private and charitable institutions that bought complex financial instruments such as collateralised debt obligations (CDOs). There have been few buyers for CDOs and similar structured finance products since the subprime meltdown this time last year that sent global financial markets into a tailspin.

The $2 billion in investments identified by BusinessDay pertains only to funds under Lehman Brothers management. Lehman acquired boutique local bank Grange Securities two years ago and Grange had been the biggest player in the CDO market, having undertaken a strategy of selling the product to local government, charity and semi-government agencies.

As Lehman was acting as “agent” to most of its council and charitable clients, it not only sold the products, it also managed them for clients, and in some cases “churned” the CDO portfolios by 200%, 300% and 500%.

In other words, the bank bought and sold the products between its clients and earned commissions on the sales, according to sources close to the councils.

Full article/crap here

Interesting game played by Lehman, but that’s not the point. Sorry, but pardon me, communities, charities invested in high-risk financial instruments?  High-risk instrument, pardon me? Charities?

Filed Under: Life, news Tagged With: Links, news

What’s wrong with these people? ‘Westerners’

by Gav Leave a Comment

I don’t normally post non-trading stuff here. But recent reports , particularly in Australian medias are just so annoying. Full of craps.

More ceremony fakes unearthed

Stephen Hutcheon | August 15, 2008 – 12:08PM

The Olympic opening ceremony featured faked fireworks, a fake singer who lip synced to another girl’s voice and now it appears that the children appearing in costumes representing China’s 55 minority groups were also fakes.

Full bullshit here

The only fact  is, western medias, yes, Australian, you are one of them, trying their extremely best to dig everything, anything bad, negative about China, about Beijing Olympics.

The fact is, China presents one of the greatest opening ceremony ever and great games, great people to the world. That’s the whole point. Look at the opening ceremony, the effort, the hard work, and the performance, it is almost second to nothing. I’ve almost forgotten about other Olympics, Atlanta? Sydney? how about you? Oh Yes, I still love the Barcelona opening, that’s awesome.

Man, you are missing the point, you are blind.

I am sorry, but Trader Gav feels really pissed by these reports.

Filed Under: Life, Links, news Tagged With: Links, news

Leave Aussie alone…

by Gav Leave a Comment

Oh crap. That’s the term I used the most last week. :lol:. Man, Aussie dollar was breaking down again and again. It broke my 0.93 support, and now trading below 0.90. Holy smoke… 😆

I did not make money from shorting Aussie dollar last week. The excuse I am going to use is…I was darn busy with my day job. What a crappy excuse, isn’t it? 🙂  .. Nah, the fact is , my trading style tends to hold the position for a longer period, and negative interest position is not a good idea for me. So, I would rather stay away from the market.

Is next week a good time to short Aussie? I don’t think so. Well, at least I am not doing that. We have RBA monetary policy statement coming. But, don’t you think the on plate interest rate cut has already been priced in? Expect a volatile week, I am not trading. I would rather spend my time watching Olympics Games.

Here is the…..CHART!

[photopress:aussie_daily.gif,full,1]

Some statistics

[photopress:aussie_daily_trend.jpg,full,1]

About this tool

Here is the ETF ,CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA)

[photopress:FXA.jpg,full,1]

Chart is generated by Tradecision.

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, FXA, Trading Journal

Bad coffee exits

by Gav 5 Comments

Starbucks pulled out from Australia by closing 61 of 84 stores.

In the case of one American coffee giant, globalisation deserved to fail. Starbucks makes really bad coffee.

Starbucks is almost entirely pulling out of Australia — closing 61 of its 84 stores. In Melbourne, just five of the 16 stores are tipped to remain.

when Starbucks came to Australia to bring coffee and the cafe culture to the masses, it found that we already had it. Particularly in Melbourne, we have better coffee and more relaxing cafes than anything that Starbucks brought with it.

If Starbucks can teach us anything, it is that in the global marketplace, turning up to compete just isn’t enough. You have to be really good.

Full article here

My point here is, Starbucks makes really bad coffee. At least , in Melbourne, I don’t find any reason to buy my coffee from Starbucks.

Filed Under: Life, news Tagged With: Australia, coffee

Worries in Aussie?

by Gav 5 Comments

Is Australia heading to recession? Some said next 3 months are crucial…

Think of it like this: we are in a car that has been braking sharply as a result of higher interest rates, higher petrol prices, diminishing household wealth and fear of what might lie ahead. Now the car has slowed sharply, the question is whether we, the decision-makers of the economy, keep our foot on the brake, and slow down even further, or release it to keep cruising at our present speed.

The Reserve’s goal was the latter: if Australia’s growth in output slows to about 2.5% — 2% excluding farms and mining — it believes inflation will gradually crawl back within its target zone of 2% to 3%.

Are the decision-makers, the good driver? Not too sure.

Full article from TheAge.com

Filed Under: Links, news Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, Gold, Trading Journal

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