I made one trade today, Long CADJPY. Closed the trade with + 1.05 R. Not impressive at all. I exited the trade with a little bit of candle reading involved, and maybe a little bit gut feeling. I am thinking of start posting chart of my trade again. Well, not every single trade.
Here is today’s trade.
[photopress:CADJPY1hour10Oct.JPG,full,alignleft]
I traded NZD/USD in the morning which had a nice run during Sydney session. But I saw profit eroded one hour after Japan session opened. End the day with -1 R. Nothing much for the day. I spent a couple of hours fixing my internet connection in the evening time (which was caused by my own mistake 😐 ). A couple of dollar pairs (AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD) started to rally during U.S session which I have already left the market. The ‘I wish I were there‘ thoughts are useless for trading, so I am not going to bicker with myself.
Well, as usual, Monday is always not my day. I traded AUD/NZD long with – 1 R loss. And, I was just an unprepared trader today. I did not even know it was public holiday in Japan and U.S. Well, Forex is a 24-hour market, but experience told me that day trading during holidays of major market places is a dang bad idea.
Anyway, end the day with -1R.
My plan was to exit my day trade position before NFP announcement. Right. I did that, and missed out bigger profit. But, well, I am not feeling frustrated over this at all. Day trading around NFP are for the ‘Professionals’ , not for me.
I was Long AUD/JPY. Not too bad. And I was happy to close the position around 30 minutes before NFP. But wait! My trading platform stalled, hanged, and died. I have to kill the application. My order was still in progress.
When I restarted the application my order was filled, at the much lower price. Oh well…. 😐
End the day with +1 R. Pretty uneventful week, though I managed to close the week in positive.
Boo…what a lousy day. I was watching all dollar pairs closely and finally I saw a nice dummy setup form in USD/JPY. As mentioned in my last post, I hesitate to trade any dollar pair before NFP. I decided to take the trade, with smaller than normal R. Well, just as expected, nothing much happened. I closed the trade at break even. End the day with 0 R.
About NFP (Non Farm payroll) , here is something from newsletter of a forex broker. It says
August’s Non Farm numbers threw the market into a spin with the first negative number seen since August 2003. The markets will be watching this Friday morning to see if the dip in August was a temporary blip or if the downward trend will continue. This report will most certainly play a key role in whether the Fed will ease again later this month. As expected, analysts are split this month, some predicting significant rebounds and others remaining extremely cautious. One thing is certain, tomorrow’s numbers will be closely watched by all.
Key factors thought to influence this months Non-Farm Payroll report include:
– Watch for revisions to leave a positive gain in August (-4,000)
– Smaller expected declines in manufacturing after the -46,000 August drop
– Private service payrolls expected to show close to 100,000 gain
– Unemployment expected to rise to 4.7%The Labor Department reported, in the week ending September 29, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 317,000, an increase of 16,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 301,000. The 4-week moving average was 312,750, an increase of 500 from the previous week’s revised average of 312,250.
I am not a news trader, but it is important to know how does the over all market develop, fundamentally.
I did not trade on Wednesday.Partly because of busy with non trading stuffs, and can’t find any convincing setup. Generally, Dollar is in recovering mood now, and looks pretty strong ahead of Non Farm payroll. People are expecting a strong payroll report. Well, to me, the rule is simple. I am watching closely but not trading any Dollar pair at the moment, until NFP is released. (uhm..guess, what am I going to trade then?) 😀
I am thinking to get the book Millionaire Traders: How Everyday People Are Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game
