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AUDUSD

When Aussie is below 0.63 cents again…

by Gav Leave a Comment

I am actually looking for long signal. Yes, I am waiting to go long. We are waiting to see how does RBA react now. Do they still think that the stimulus package is going to do any good?

Well , it is understandable why were they so confident about the stimulus package. During the Asian crisis, around 1997 to 1999 , Australia managed to grow at an average rate of 4.7%. The country’s sound foundation of strong domestic consumption was able to save Australia from past crises. Consumer consumption was the key.

They still believe in this. I guess.

Anyway, I don’t believe in what they choose to believe. But I am looking to longΒ  Aussie dollar now.

Here is the….CHART! (Click to view full chart)

audusd-4hr

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, Trading Journal

One Aussie trade

by Gav Leave a Comment

Here we go. Another trade by IHF (read: I Hate Forex) system. AUDUSD short trade was triggered during Tuesday morning london session. Final profit target was hit, since I bailed it out at 0.65 level. Another nice shot, nice short. +111 pips.

Here is the chart to inspire you. Making good trade is good for your health, I reckon. πŸ˜†

aussie_ihf_trade

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, IHF, Trading Journal

Out of market

by Gav Leave a Comment

I am out from market now. Well , in case you wanna know.. I was in the market since yesterday.
GBPUSD long position was stopped out before it rallied. And I was away from my workstation. oh well, it happens.

AUDUSD was flying. It feels really good to wake up in the morning with 300 pips profit in your trading account. πŸ˜†

Here is the ….CHART! It is for showing off purposes. πŸ˜†
audusd1hr_17december2008

Nothing much. Waited for price to squeeze, speculate the bloody rate cut. Boom. Then manage trailing stop, then , profit target hit…then…that’s it.

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, Trading Journal

In the market

by Gav Leave a Comment

In case you wanna know, I am in the market right now. Long AUDUSD, Long GBPUSD. Speculating on the rate cut from Federal reserve. Small position though. Go go go

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, GBPUSD, Trading Journal

Asians’ love of Aussie dollar

by Gav Leave a Comment

It has been a very busy and wonderful two-week. After seeing off my families back to Malaysia, I am back to my trading desk. I hope to start some tradings soon.Β 

It is very interesting to know how the retail business people from south east asia (particularly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore) view Australia dollar. They are bullish. For medium to long term , I guess. At the moment, in both Malaysia and Singapore, most probably you can’t buy Australian dollar from retail money changer on the spot. Instead, you’ve to pre-order, and collect it later. People are rushing to buy the Aussie. Supply is short. In fact, my sister was not able to find any Aussie dollar prior coming to Melbourne. This is interesting, isn’t it?Β 

Of course, this is not enough to create a bullish view of Aussie dollar just yet. In fact, it shows that most of retail traders/investors might still live in the old Aussie dream. This is not a simple correction, this is a pretty serious damage of Australian dollar trend. It might take awhile before their ‘investment’ takes off again. Let’s see how it goes.

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, FX, Trading Journal

“Chart view” of Australia

by Gav 15 Comments

[photopress:aussie_monthly.gif,full,1]

We know Australian dollar is losing its ground recently. It is, in fact, the worst-performed currency in Asia Pacific for year 2008. (It reminds me, it used to be the top performer not long ago πŸ˜† )

I had a look at monthly chart to have a view and feel how bad is the situation right now. Basically, market is wiping out all the gains since Howard government, and the years-long economy honey moon since, approximately, year 2001.

If the currency reflects the economy condition of a country, here is a “chart view” of Aussie economy.

The poor (unlucky ?) Labor party, Mr. Kevin Rudd takes over Australia at the “right time”. Soon after Labour party in charge, we have economy slow down, then collapse of Australia dollar to 5-year low. In short, he takes over Australia at the TOP, well, short term TOP and historical resistance zone. (John Howard took over at the bottom, and support zone though). This cycle should be very close to commodity cycle.

So now, the interesting part is, are we heading back to the previous bottom? or are we able to bounce from this “retracement”? I feel, this will also indicate the duration of Labor party staying in power…

Just my random rant.

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: AUDUSD, Australia

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