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Gav's trading blog - Perseverance, Consistency, Confidence

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Blog and Rants

Structure your Entry, a suggestion

by Gav 10 Comments

Years ago, when I was reading Alexander Elder’s Trading for a Living: Psychology, Trading Tactics, Money Management, the triple screen idea caught my attention. I thought it was a great idea for my swing trading. The basic idea is to have a broader view of your trading time frame, looking at the bigger picture before considering your entry.

Since the beginning of this year, OK my dummy trading 2.0, I have been using this concept. I always have 3 screens on my chart, for example, NQ futures. I called these three screens Sentiment screen (the longest time frame), Value screen (intermediate time frame), and Entry screen (the shortest time frame). Again, I am not illustrating my trading setup, because, it is irrelevant to anybody. Instead, I will give a brief explanation of this structure setup.

Sentiment Screen
This is a screen with the longest time frame among the three. In this screen, you need to have your own method, be it a moving average or your very own Magic Index to determine the direction of the trend and current sentiment of the market that you are trading. For example, if we have a very bullish view in Sentiment Screen, we do not want to go short. It is either Long or no trade.

You should spend some time to find the right method for yourself to determine bullish/bearish sentiment and determine a trend. No free lunch, do your own research.

Value Screen
This screen is having a shorter time frame than the Sentiment Screen. How short is shorter? Up to you. Do your research. It can be 3x shorter or even 5 times shorter. No absolute answer. Here, I am looking for the best value to enter a position. For example, you might be looking for price to trade near a support level, moving average or Bollinger band, etc. For example, if you are trading breakout, then you might want to see congestion on this screen. If you are considering joining a trend, you might want to wait for a bounce from a pullback on this screen.
On this screen, we decide if it worth establishing a position. I don’t want to see price exhaustion on this screen.

This screen keeps me disciplined from chasing a trade. When the price runs away on this screen, I do not want to establish a position.

Entry Screen
This is the shortest time frame. In this screen, I am looking for an entry spot, be it a dummy spot or chart patterns, etc. The most important thing to remember here is, I am only interested in an entry spot in the direction of the Sentiment screen.

Of course, this is not all. This structure setup only helps in refining the entry signal. There are different ways to incorporate stop loss. The stop may be set up according to the chart in Value screen or Entry Screen. Again, this is subject to your own research.

Stephane from The Chart Strategiest applies the similar approach that I have described here, though there are differences. Check out his blog. He trades both commodity and index futures. It is good to see how he trades.

Just another piece of study that I have done to improve my trading.

Filed Under: blogs, Learn Trading, Trading Journal Tagged With: Strategy & tools

Sudden and unexpected?

by Gav Leave a Comment

I am not trying to be an expert to give market commentary. Just some observations during my weekend studies. If NYSE TICK was telling me something, here it is.
Ok , hindsight. We had a divergence between NYSE TICK and S&P at 22-Nov-2006 when S&P was making a new high and TICK data did not agree with that. We subsequently had a pull back.And, again, 22-Feb-2007, S&P tried a new high, and this time we had a massive divergence with NYSE TICK again. And the following was just history.

[photopress:SP_Adj_tick02Mar2007III.jpg,full,center]

I have read a couple of reports, most described the sell down as “Sudden”, or “Unexpected”. Uhm.. maybe it is really not so “unexpected”. I don’t know.

I am studying some put call ratio stuffs now. Let’s see if I can find some interesting points. Later.

Filed Under: Trading Journal

Weekend delight

by Gav Leave a Comment

360.gifI try to avoid posting non-trading stuffs. But, I am just too happy now.

We, Manchester United only need 10 men to beat Liverpool at home! 😀

vandesar.jpgAnd, he is the man of the match, one of the best goal keeper in the world. Edward Van der Sar .

Filed Under: Rant Tagged With: fun

New Look – A superstitious reason

by Gav Leave a Comment

Another big change of this site again. I have spent some time to revamp the layout. I do this with a simple and superstitious reason. Green is my lucky colour for the year of PIG.

Yeah, I am superstitious. Most of successful businessmen in Asia do. Why not? 🙂 After all, green is a healthy colour for eyes.

The photo used for banner was taken during my last trip to Malaysia.

Filed Under: Rant Tagged With: blogging

Another quote from Michael Marcus

by Gav Leave a Comment

Over the lunch, my colleague mentioned about conspiracy stories in China stocks market. “The sell down of china market was caused by American!” …LOL..

Anyway, Michael Marcus discussed something on this topic in Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders.

 The foolish belief that there is conspiracy in the markets. I have known many of the great traders in the world, and I can say that 99 percent of the time, the market is bigger than anybody and, sooner or later, it goes where it wants to go. There are exceptions, but they don’t last too long.

Filed Under: Rant, Trading Quotes Tagged With: Trading Quote

Trend Table 02-Mar-2007

by Gav Leave a Comment

Well, everything is still down.

[photopress:Trendtable02Mar2007.PNG,full,alignleft]

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: Trading Journal

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