TraderGav.com

Gav's trading blog - Perseverance, Consistency, Confidence

USDJPY

Coffee thoughts of the day 29-April-2009

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I am not going to post charts today. In summary, my Long positions of GBPJPY and USDJPY were slaughtered , Long AUDUSD made it all back with additional profit.Read my twit here. 

If you live or visited Melbourne, Australia before, you should know about our most ‘Fabulous’ and ‘efficient’ public transport system. Let’s only talk about Tram here. With a 10 times 2 hour ticket, each trip will cost you $2.90, and without a valid ticket, if caught, a fine of around $120 will be charged.

I am not working for the transportation company, I do not care if they are making profit or loss. However, does it do you any good by not paying for the ticket? Let’s assume you travel from home to office everyday, and what is the Risk reward ratio and accuracy here?

Talking in the trading language, each win will give you $2.9 profit. And each loss will cost you $120. How accurate does your system need to be in order to win the game? You need 100% winning rate. I have prepared the following table.

tram_trade

Why do you even bother to take this trade? I don’t get it. Maybe the feeling of winning (not paying and not being caught) covers the fact that risk reward ratio is not with us. Relate this to your trading, how are you doing? And, whether to pay for the tram ticket or not, it is up to you 🙂

One USDJPY trade 22-April-2009

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At the end of Tuesday U.S session, I saw a nice short setup in USDJPY. Classical text-book pattern to me, and offered me 1:2 R/R. 

Short position was established, profit target was achieved at the mid day of Asian session. Not too bad with +2R gain.

Here is the…CHART! Well, forget about the MACD, I was just too lazy to remove it.

usdjpy_22_april_2009

Weekly Wrap up

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Before I start writting about trading, I would like to let you know…I HATE SUMMER!!!!! I HATE SuMMER!!! I am baked in over 100 F or 40 degree Celsius for the whole week. And , the best situation is..I do not have air conditioner in my apartment.Well, … I HATE SUMMER!!

Alright, let’s get back to business. Another busy week for me. Trading front, I opened few trades from IHF(read: I-Hate-Forex) system, new sDT (read: Spot-Da-Trend) system. What is the main problem of the week? Trade management. I should admit that I felt lost looking at the positions. To make it worse, I started my mulitple entries method (i.e dividing the risk level, and getting into a trade in different point, tell you what, I just love this strategy). I have plans for everything, but, I was kind of over estimating myself. I was monitoring different systems, positions, figuring out position size, moving stops blah blah blah…etc. And making mistakes here and there. Everything was a mess. Messing up with my plans. See, with a plan is not enough.

Anyway, the solution is simple. Cutting down the number of trades next week. Now, it is not only about making good trades, I gotta make sure I am managing my trades well. This is a different skill set. Brothers, trading is really not only about entry and exit.

OK, in case you are interested to know, I am holding Long positions of NzDJPY, USDJPY, and Short position of EURCHF at the moment. I can see the bloody future of my NZDJPY position. 😆 Rally of Yen is killing my positions now. I will just need to bite the bullets now.

Btw, I thought Million dollar traders by BBC is pretty interesting. Check it out.

Busy week

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The idea box generated quite a number of trades after the first disastrous day. 😆

All trades were focusing on Long EURGBP, and short USDJPY. Friends on my Facebook would have known I was trading these two pairs frequently this week.  The idea box is built with a stupid trend following method couple with fundamental analysis . Whatever you wanna call. I don’t care. It all about speculation.

Here is to show you one of the EURGBP trade I’d made.

eurgbp

Anyway, Christmas is around the corner. People are again spending like hell. Yup, they might know how shitty economy condition Aussie is facing soon. There are just too many reasons to spend. And THE Government is asking us to spend.

I am still trading next week. And after that I will be taking time off for Christmas/ New  Year break.  And taking the time to review my trading this year. Gut feeling tells me it is not going to be as impressive as I had expected at the beginning of the year. It took me a little too long to adjust my trading style to fit into the changing market condition. Let’s see.

Tale of two trades — USDJPY, EURUSD

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In order to salvage my getting lower blog readerships (in fact, it is consistently low readership 😆 ) , I am going to post two trades that I have made today , 01-Dec-2008, London session.  it is show off time again! 🙂

Scalping? Yeah, I do scalp.  But, I have a box of trading styles, so don’t waste your time guessing. 😆

I told you I have a negative view of Dollar. This is particular true when watching USDJPY. I watched the opening hour of London session, let the price flowed, and wait for the currency pair to form my favorite setup.  BANG! Shot the Dollar, Oops, I mean short. Aggressive price movement, with aggressive trailing stop.

Here is the …. CHART! small +40 pips.

OK, now EURUSD. I told you ..blah blah blah…but, Euro looked weak.. So, I shorted EURUSD.  Dollar was weak. So the trade closed with small profit. Thanks to the partial profit taking orders.

Here is the… CHART!

That’s all. Two trades for the day. I am off for shower and dinner. Ciao!