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Old blog archive

Opportunist series: Stocks for 19-June-2006 onwards

by Gav Leave a Comment

This opportunist series is to capture stocks which experience extreme bearish sentiment and starts rally. Tight stop loss is implemented as broad market sentiment and trend remains bearish.

I have found some counters for agressive trading style to capitalise in the rebound rally in the existing downtrend. Almost all of the stocks I have found are in down trend and negative sentiment. However, some of them are rebounding after reached extreme bearish sentiment.
There are quite a few counters captured , however, most of them are trading near major resistance and Reward/Risk ratio less than 1. I have excluded them from consideration.

I am watching at Star Pham, Midas and Statchipac.

Filed Under: Old blog archive

Chart Eye: Sesdaq daily trend : ended 16-June-2006

by Gav 6 Comments

So we have seen a strong rally last Friday. It was expected to hear some voices in forums discussing ‘Bull is back to action’. Well, I have decided again to do some analysis on the trend. And this time, I want do something interesting.
Firstly, I am looking at daily trend of UOB Sesdaq index. Last week’s rally put a pause to the heavy selling. Short term moving averages are ticking up. However, it is still far below long term moving averages. And there is, in fact, nothing much in term of trend change. Downtrend is still intact.
From Directional analysis, negative sentiment is still hanging in the air, though it was ticking down at the end of last week, I do not see positive sentiment gaining strength.
(Click on the chart to maximize it)


If it is a little bit tough for trader to accept establishment of downtrend (Since, most of traders only recognize Bullish pattern), I have inverted the daily trend of UOB Sesdaq. The inverted trend indeed showing me a ‘BUY’ opportunity (in reality, a SELL, remember, this is a inverted chart) if I were to do trend trading.

In fact, I am not impressed by the rally. Maybe, at least for now. My strategy will be sell on strength instead. The rally in some way, provides a chance to let go current holding of small cap.

Filed Under: Old blog archive

Swing Trade for 16-June-2006: No candidate

by Gav Leave a Comment

Given yesterday’s positive closing of STI and recent rally of U.S indices, I did a scan on my stock list for potential swing trade candidate. Few china counters appeared in rally with volume scan. However, none of them passed the directional and trend test for the time being and most of them are actually trading below 150 and 200 day moving average.

I would prefer to stay away from stocks market today and wait for more confirmations about this rally (or maybe , just a relief rally).

Filed Under: Old blog archive

Chart Eye: STI daily chart : Ended 09-June-2006

by Gav Leave a Comment

This is trend analysis of daily chart of STI. Downtrend is still intact, though there was rebound at the end of last week, that did not help much in term of trend change. There is no sign of recovery. Directional analysis wise, there was a slight up turn in directional element, however, it is still below trigger line. Negative sentiment is still dominating.
No reason to consider any BUY for now.

Filed Under: Old blog archive

Chart Eye: Sesdaq daily chart : Ended 09-June-2006

by Gav Leave a Comment

This is daily chart of Sesdaq. Nothing much has changed. There is no sign of recovery for small cap. Directional analysis shows a continuation of downward movement. Negative sentiment is still hanging in the air for now. Trend characteristics analysis shows intact downtrend with no sign of reversal.
I am not interested in any stocks trading for the time being.

Filed Under: Old blog archive

Chart Eye: SIMSCI daily chart Snapshot: Ended 09-June-2006

by Gav Leave a Comment

Before a new week get started, it is necessary to have a view of Futures market movement retrospectively. It is beautiful, I would say. A downtrend channel has not been violated at all since it was formed weeks ago. From daily chart, short term time frame, I would say, ‘Downtrend is still intact’. There was a small rebound at the end of last week. I am not optimistic about this jump. Very interesting to know that, DJ sank into negative territory last friday, again. Yes, again. I am looking at area between 280 and 282.4 as resistance zone while immediate support level is around 270.7. This is to provide me a bigger picture during day trading.

Here is what my chart eyes see
Directional analysis:
Downtrend intact, possibility of some rebounds exists as it reaches extreme area.
Sentiment analysis:
Remain Negative. Bearish for the time being.

Filed Under: Old blog archive

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