I am trying a new idea of examining strength (or maybe sentiment) of some currencies. Taking the average of the trend scores (as of today) that I am using. No rocket science, just some statistics to be considered before making trade.
A scale from -100 (strong downtrend) to +100 (strong up trend)
YEN
GBP/JPY -55
USD/JPY -55
AUD/JPY +70
CAD/JPY -55
Average : -23.75. Yen scores +23.75 . This is rather flat.
AUSSIE
AUD/USD +60
AUD/JPY +70
AUD/CAD +90
GBP/AUD -75
Average: +73.75. Australian dollar is still in uptrend, though it is not as strong yet.
USD
USD/JPY -55
GBP/USD +55
EUR/USD +80
USD/CAD -70
Average: -65. It shows Dollar is in downtrend, but, it is a weak downtrend at the moment.
I am still going with Aussie dollar, at the moment. Though I would be happier if it gets a little bit stronger now. :o:
Caravaggio says
Hi Trader Gav. These rates could also tweaked by weighting them according to the importance. For example, for the yen indicator, CAD/JPY would have a low weight because it is of lesser importance to the yen than say USD or AUD (a la the ‘trade-weighted index’).
: )
Gav says
Hey Caravaggio, that’s a good point. I will incorporate it into my next calculation.
Cheers!
Caravaggio says
Hi Trader Gav. These rates could also tweaked by weighting them according to the importance. For example, for the yen indicator, CAD/JPY would have a low weight because it is of lesser importance to the yen than say USD or AUD (a la the ‘trade-weighted index’).
: )
Gav says
Hey Caravaggio, that’s a good point. I will incorporate it into my next calculation.
Cheers!
Jay says
And then use it as a contra-indicator!
Gav says
LOL. Yeah, Jay, I was thinking about the same thing before…
But, let’s see how it works out..
Jay says
And then use it as a contra-indicator!
Gav says
LOL. Yeah, Jay, I was thinking about the same thing before…
But, let’s see how it works out..