I am not going to post charts today. In summary, my Long positions of GBPJPY and USDJPY were slaughtered , Long AUDUSD made it all back with additional profit.Read my twit here.
If you live or visited Melbourne, Australia before, you should know about our most ‘Fabulous’ and ‘efficient’ public transport system. Let’s only talk about Tram here. With a 10 times 2 hour ticket, each trip will cost you $2.90, and without a valid ticket, if caught, a fine of around $120 will be charged.
I am not working for the transportation company, I do not care if they are making profit or loss. However, does it do you any good by not paying for the ticket? Let’s assume you travel from home to office everyday, and what is the Risk reward ratio and accuracy here?
Talking in the trading language, each win will give you $2.9 profit. And each loss will cost you $120. How accurate does your system need to be in order to win the game? You need 100% winning rate. I have prepared the following table.
Why do you even bother to take this trade? I don’t get it. Maybe the feeling of winning (not paying and not being caught) covers the fact that risk reward ratio is not with us. Relate this to your trading, how are you doing? And, whether to pay for the tram ticket or not, it is up to you 🙂
Hmm not quite, the win % is somewhere between 92 and 100. At a guess it’s about 98%, so you;ve gotta work out if the chance of a flock of ticket inspectors is lest than 1 in 50, IMHO.
Hmm not quite, the win % is somewhere between 92 and 100. At a guess it’s about 98%, so you;ve gotta work out if the chance of a flock of ticket inspectors is lest than 1 in 50, IMHO.