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Trading Journal

Snapshot of index futures 14-August-2006

by Gav Leave a Comment

This is the business we have chosen ~ The GodFather, the movie

It was a lousy day of bulls for stocks indices. I did not have any set up to trade. Dow,Nasdaq and S&P were showing the same pattern. To be frank, I was tempted to enter Long position and I was a bit frustrated of not having any long position. The decision to stick to my rules strictly pays off this time.

30-min chart of E-mini Nasdaq 

[photopress:Mini_Nasdaq_30_min_fullday.JPG,full,pp_image]

30-min chart of Dow Mini 

[photopress:Mini_Dow_full_day_closed..JPG,full,pp_image]

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: Trading Journal

Dummy day trading #10 14-August-2006:Mini Gold: Short trade closed

by Gav 6 Comments

That was not so nice to start the week with a loss. Short position of GOLD was established below 8:00am (chicago time) reversal up bar. And I was stopped out by the very next candle. Nothing much to write about this trade. The possible mistake might be, the reversal up bar was in fact closed above moving averages. It was, in fact, not my favourite set up condition. Then why did I make the trade?

Secondly, it is necessary to reconsider about trading Mini Gold. Volume is low and spread is sometimes too big to be swallowed. Not a good choice for day trading.

30-min chart of Mini Gold futures 

[photopress:mini_gold_30_min_trade_closed.JPG,full,pp_image]

I decided to call it a day around 1130 am (chicago time) since I do not have desired set up for stocks indices, and oil seems to be making a intraday come back. uh! I am doing nothing when market is having 3-digit gain?!? It does happen.

Vince reminded me the movie 'God Father' : 'This is the business we have chosen'

Ok, 1 trade closed with 1-R loss.

Filed Under: Trading Journal Tagged With: Gold, Trading Journal

Weekly Economic Calendar :14-August-2006 to 18-August-2006

by Gav Leave a Comment

We have quite a number of reports coming this week. Here is a quick snapshot of economic calendar for the coming week.

Weekly Economic Calendar

Date ET Release For Consensus Prior

Aug 15

08:30

Core PPI

Jul

0.2%

0.2%

Aug 15

08:30

NY Empire State Index

Aug

15.0

15.6

Aug 15

08:30

PPI

Jul

0.3%

0.5%

Aug 15

09:00

Net Foreign Purchases

Jun

NA

$69.6B

Aug 16

08:30

Building Permits

Jul

1845K

1869K

Aug 16

08:30

Core CPI

Jul

0.3%

0.3%

Aug 16

08:30

CPI

Jul

0.4%

0.2%

Aug 16

08:30

Housing Starts

Jul

1810K

1850K

Aug 16

09:15

Capacity Utilization

Jul

82.6%

82.4%

Aug 16

09:15

Industrial Production

Jul

0.5%

0.8%

Aug 16

10:30

Crude Inventories

08/11

NA

-1114K

Aug 17

08:30

Initial Claims

08/12

NA

319K

Aug 17

10:00

Leading Indicators

Jul

0.1%

0.1%

Aug 17

12:00

Philadelphia Fed

Aug

8.0

6.0

Aug 18

09:50

Mich Sentiment-Prel.

Aug

84.0

84.7

Filed Under: Trading Journal

Am I giving up SIMSCI trades?

by Gav Leave a Comment

I have received few emails from readers of my old blog asking about if I have given up trading SIMSCI (MSCI Singapore Free Index) futures. Here is an email from Alvin (btw, Alvin, my reply was bounced, since your email address was invalid)

came across yr interesting blog on SIMSCI trades a while back and enjoyed following it. However, you have apparently switched to trading the US e-minis and commodities. Just curious, are you giving up on the SIMSCI trades? If so, any reason why?

Ok, here is the reply. Yup, you are right, I have stopped trading SIMSCI futures. To me, it is part of my plan to move myself to another level. When I first started day trading index futures, I studied few markets to get started with. I did fancy trading US e-minis at that point of time, but my skills and my account size did not allow me to do so. I decided to start small. SIMSCI futures apparently was the smallest and simplest index futures I can get my feet wet. So , I started my 12-min chart day trading strategy on SIMSCI futures. All my trades were posted on my Better Trading Blog, so I am not going to explain that. Well, I was pretty lucky, no big draw down, instead my small trading account was up 40% (this percentage is easy to achieve with a small account , nothing fancy here), and that was during the May and June, an ugly period for Singapore stocks market traders.

I think it is time for me to move on to a bigger and volatile market. I am not sure if I will do as well , I am pretty confident and comfortable with current performance. Work is still in progress.

I might go back to SIMSCI trade when volatility and volume are significantly improved.

Filed Under: Trading Journal

August 2006: Week 2 review

by Gav 1 Comment

The week started slow and flat and ended with positive note. Second week of August 2006, I closed the week with 3.62-R. We had Fed meeting on tuesday, I did not make any index futures trading before Fed meeting. I switched to Gold futures trading, with break even result, 0-R. DJ and Nasdaq had clearer direction after Fed's decision. And dummy trading continues to be profitable for Dow mini and E-mini Nasdaq trading.

Thanks Vince for bringing up currency futures ideas. I am looking into Euro FX now, and I hope I can start some Fx futures trading next week.

This is result of 2nd week of August.

[photopress:Augustweek2.JPG,full,pp_image]

It is mid August now. So far so good for the first half of the month. August is still considered a pretty decent month for me. To date, I am up 7.49 R for August. This is an encouraging result after I made some changes to my day trading strategy. Keeping things simple does help. Anyway 7.49-R is still too small to be considered good. I am trying to add in more futures products into my trading basket. My current main focus is still on Dow Mini and E-mini Nasdaq. I will stick with dummy trading strategy for the time being, and I do not have any plan to make any change for my trading strategy now. It is good to find a strategy which fits my personality and risk appetite. So, same trading style, expanding my trading basket, increase trading opportunity.

[photopress:Augustweek1and2.JPG,full,pp_image]

Filed Under: Trading Journal

Dummy day trading #9 11-August-2006:E-Mini Nasdaq: Short trade closed

by Gav Leave a Comment

That was too much work for small profit. Short position of E-Mini Nasdaq was established below 930am reversal up bar. Stop was moved twice and it was triggered with 1-R gain. Volume seems to be drying up. Nasdaq moved slowly.

I decided to give up Dow Mini trade as it was approaching 50-day moving average in daily chart. I was wrong and missing out some profit.

Here is 30-min chart of E-mini Nasdaq futures.
[photopress:mini_nasdaq_30_min_trade_close.JPG,full,pp_image]

Filed Under: Dummy Collection, Trading Journal Tagged With: Dummy Trading E-mini Nasdaq, Trading Journal

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